July 22, 2006

CT GOP Senate Candidate In Dire Straits

No, he's not playing bass for the rock band. Republican Alan Schlesinger has got himself some gambling and ethics issues.

Hey, I'll be honest. I live in Connecticut. I'm a registered Republican. And I've never even heard of this guy. And honestly, I'd vote for Lieberman anyway.

Dems (especially the Lefties) will probably get all giddy over this, especially if Schlesinger drops out. But in reality, this is bad news for Lamont supporters. If Lieberman goes independent, the latest Quinnipiac poll puts him at 51% support over Lamont, who has 27% and Schlesinger with 9%. Schlesinger doesn't stand a snowball's chance in hell as it is. But if he drops out, guess where that 9% is going to go? You guessed it. Liebs then polls 60% to Lamont's 27%. Hell, Lamont can even have all those undecideds and Lieberman wins in a landslide - with no formal ties to the Democrat party.

And every day it looks more and more like that will be the scenario. We'll know for sure in a couple of weeks.

Posted by: Gary at 11:11 AM | Comments (4) | Add Comment
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1 I've been interviewing the candidate via email - but have not gotten into the gambling thing yet Part 1 Part 2 I'm not sure that the gambling story represents his biggest hurdle.

Posted by: Stephen Macklin at July 22, 2006 05:55 PM (DdRjH)

2 Lieberman is going to keep this seat regardless. He may not win the primary, but it will not matter. His poll numbers are so high in a three way race, I seriously doubt Lamont or Schlesinger coming anywhere near him.

Posted by: PoliticalCritic at July 22, 2006 06:02 PM (1nHnP)

3 you may want to check the more recent polls...don be so smug about Joe Loserman. Lieberman is the "Kiss of Death" in CT and he keeps getting worse and worse... Even his buddy Irv Stolberg calls him "dead wrong" on Iraq.

Posted by: Bubba at July 23, 2006 11:27 AM (AXCOL)

4 I hate to take a dump in your punchbowl, but here's a few sobering things you should consider: 1. The Q poll is already outdated. A newer Rasmssuen poll shows Lamont and Lieberman neck and neck in the general. Even the Q polls shows Lamont gaining considerable momentum from month to month. 2. If Lamont does win the primary, he'll get a HUGE bounce in the polls due to the favorable publicity. It will be the front page story above the fold in the Hartford Courant, New Haven Register, Bridgeport Post, Waterbury Republican American and Danbury News Times, among others. It will also be the lead story on WTNH and WFSB. That will be the equivalent of a multimillion dollar ad campaign for Lamont. 3. IF Lamont becomes the Dem nominee, a considerable portion of Lierberman's support will definitely abandon him. Right now, its ok for Party line Dems to say they'll vote for Joe. It won't be Ok when Lamont has the Dem line on the ballot. 4. Lamont also gains because of a better line on the ballot. He'll be easier for voters to find with a Major party next to his name near the top. 5. Lamont will gain support from many prominent Dems like Kerry and Hillary and Harry Reid who HAVE to support him if he's the nominee. I dont know if Lamont will win a three way race f it happens, but he'll do a lot better than the Q poll says right now. If Joe pulls off a three way win, it won't be with a 60% margin.

Posted by: Joe Must GO at July 24, 2006 07:02 PM (y/mKi)

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