October 31, 2006

With One Week To Go...

Some optimism from folks who have a lot of specific information that we don't.

Courtesy of Jim Geraghty's "Jedi Council".

I am seeing so many different polls that are contradicting each other in so many crucial races I've stopped looking at them. I think back to 2004 and 2002. My gut says the GOP holds onto both chambers. We'll see.

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CT - "The Moonbat Pickett's Charge"

This is how Dean Barnett, posting at Hugh Hewitt's blog, describes the Ned Lamont candidacy.

It wasn’t that long ago when Ned Lamont was the most beloved figure amongst the Nutroots. But lately, the Nutroots have turned on their erstwhile hero like the pack of rabid Chihuahuas that they are. One can hardly read a left wing blog without seeing opprobrium hurled in Nedrenaline’s direction for the awful campaign that he has run.

In truth, Lamont was straitjacketed by his primary campaign. It’s not exactly like tacking to the sensible center was an option once he had a bunch of overly-enthused moonbats whopping it up in his living room.

But the real point of the Lamont campaign is that even in left of center Connecticut, there’s not much enthusiasm for the Democratic candidates beyond the fevered base which admittedly has enthusiasm to spare. But in America, you only get to vote once regardless of how passionate you are about a candidate or the issues. It’s that little technicality, and not any meta-campaign failures, that have doomed the Lamont campaign and suggest a bad moon rising for the left.

It doesn't matter how loud you scream, how hard you stamp your feet or how many vulgarities you post - on election day you're only one vote. Allow me to quote Willy Wonka: "Everyone gets one, and one is enough for everyone."

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Reason # 42,836 Not To Vote Democrat

Their utter contempt for the military.

“You know, education, if you make the most of it, if you study hard and you do your homework, and you make an effort to be smart, uh, you, you can do well. If you don’t, you get stuck in Iraq.”
- John F. Kerry
What a douche bag.

Capt. Ed wants to know what other Democrats think of this quote:

Wow. Just wow. It's worth recalling that Kerry at one time aspired to command these same men and women from the White House, and claims to still want to lead them. How would these people react to taking orders from a Commander-in-Chief who believes them to be uneducated, lazy losers?

We'll see if Kerry's peers in the Democratic Party support Kerry's description of our fighting men and women. If Democrats that have had John Kerry campaign on their behalf refuse to address Kerry's remarks or openly supports their characterization, it will expose the hypocrisy and the contempt that the Left has for the military. All of the talk of "supporting the troops" will be revealed as lip service.

After all, Kerry is only saying out loud what so many Democrats are thinking.

UPDATE:
The Llamas swing back at John Effin' Kerry.

UPDATE DEUX:
Senator John McCain - a real war hero - issues a statement calling for Kerry to apologize to the men and women serving in Iraq.

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October 28, 2006

Diane Lane Photo Of The Week

DL 10-28.jpg

And this week's Diane Lane Netflix Pick of the Week:

A Walk On The Moon.jpg

A Walk On The Moon (1999)

Synopsis:
The same summer that brings a man to the moon and free love to a small farm in Woodstock, N.Y., shakes up the safe, happy life of vacationing housewife Pearl Kantrowitz (Diane Lane). When a mysterious traveling salesman (Viggo Mortensen) offers her his heart, she's swept up in the passion of newfound love. But as her husband discovers her infidelity, she must choose between the life she's always known and a future with no limits.

Gary's take: Diane Lane as a Jewish mother in the '60's? What a terrific performance, one of my personal favorites. Diane plays Pearl, a woman married too young because she got pregnant and longs for a taste of the freedom that might have been. Excellent supporting cast, particularly Liev Schreiber as her husband Marty and Anna Paquin as her teen-age daughter Alison, who's coming of age is set in contrast to Pearl's own past and the cultural upheaval of 1968.

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October 27, 2006

Because It's Friday

Melissa 2.jpg

And Friday is good. So is Melissa Theuriau.

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October 26, 2006

Different Rules For Whiny Dems

As explained by David Frum:

Democrats may say what they please and do as they please - Republican speech must be carefully scrutinized for any hint of inappropriateness - and all Republicans be immediately called on to disavow anything anywhere done with less than perfect gentlemanliness & elegance.

Democrats may strike in any way they like - and may go sobbing to the media if they get back any portion of what they dish out.

And it works, because after all: in this game, the ref wears their jersey.

Go read the whole thing here.

Honestly, what a bunch of pussies.

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CT-2 - Simmons Ad

I haven't really commented much on the CT Congressional races because I've been so focused on Joe Lieberman. But this ad for Simmons really hits home:

"How does a mother put that into words?"

And will Democrat Joe Courtney do all he can to keep our soldiers safe? Or will he vote to cut funding for our troops? I have no doubt that voters who can answer these questions honestly will pull the lever for Simmons on Nov. 7th. Plain and simple.

Earlier this year I would have thought CT-2 to be the most vulnerable of the three Senate races. Now I'd have to say its more likely CT-4. CT-5 is safe at this point.

h/t: The RCP Blog

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NJ Supreme Court Ruling Brings New Issue To The Forefront

Yesterday's ruling on same-sex marriage in NJ will have some impact on Nov. 7th. The difficulty is figuring out the size of that impact.

Lefties will rightly assume that this decision hurts Democrats but for the wrong reason. They believe that any effect will be the result of Christian Right bigotry against gays.

Wrong. This is the major fallacy on which they assess opposition to same-sex marriage. Certainly anti-gay bigotry exists to a certain extent but most Christian Conservatives don't "hate gays" as many on the Left would assert (as if they even know any). Liberals find it so easy to hate their political opponents that they have trouble grasping the concept that you can be opposed to something without being motivated by the same kind of hatred.

Opposition to same-sex marriage is a majority opinion in this country because a majority of the population is against redefining the institution of marriage. If same-sex couples were to simply seek legal rights comparable to those that afforded to traditional marriage - something along the lines of domestic partnerships or civil unions - they would run into very little opposition. But in the minds of most Americans, a redefinition of a cultural institution like marriage is neither desired nor warranted. And when this happens via judicial fiat rather than the consent of the governed, then you have a problem.

Captain Ed weighes in:

Gays rightly want to have the ability to determine issues such as hospital access, estate planning, tax partnerships, and so on -- the "incidentals of marriage", as the court puts it. The court ordered the legislature to recognize these relationships as either marriages or civil unions, but both are basically contractual relationships, and the government recognizes and enforces these routinely...

...This issue really is simple. If two adults want to live together, nothing stops them from doing so, no matter the gender composition of the relationship. The government cannot stop adults from doing so, and has no real interest in doing so. What gays want is an active government sanction for the relationship, and that is a legitimate public policy interest for the people of New Jersey -- and the people should make that decision. As long as gay couples can contract as described above, no one faces any kind of discrimination for their relationships.

What the NJ Supreme Court has done is remind voters - two weeks out from a mid-term election - about the importance of having a Judiciary that interprets laws rather than making them up at their own whim. The President has a six-year record of appointing the former and, in order to ensure that this continues for the next two years, the Senate must remain Republican-controlled. And even that doesn't guaranty anything.

Mary Katherine Ham puts it another way:

Gee, wouldn't this all be easier if we could vote on this kind of thing?

Political implications? Big reminder to the social conservative base and other folks worried about the judiciary that they don't cotton to courts making these decisions for them.

Again, how exactly will this affect turnout among both Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents? Impossible to tell.

But voters now have some new post-election consequences to chew on in the voting booth. And for States like Tennessee and Virginia that have same-sex marriage bans on the ballot this year it could provide the kind of motivated turnout that heavily favors the GOP and keeps their Senate seats - and Senate control - in Republican hands.

UPDATE:
TN Rep. Harold Ford (Dem candidate for Senate) spoke out against the ruling and supports the TN same-sex marriage ban. And Kos is pissed.

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October 25, 2006

Potential Political Bomb About To Go Off

When the NJ Supreme Court rules whether or not the State's Constitution allows same-sex marriage at 3pm.

My money is on a ruling in favor of the plaintiffs.

Either way, we'll have a new significant issue to reflect on two weeks out from an election.

h/t: AmSpec Blog

UPDATE:
Boom. NJ Court pulls a Massachusetts. Rules in favor of "rights" for same-sex couples but gives NJ legislature six months to decide whether call it same-sex marriage or just civil unions. Media frenzy to follow...

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Another Day, Another Dead Terrorist

We've been after this guy since the 1998 Embassy bombings. Now he's a corpse.

Hopefully, he suffered. Good riddance.

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So Much For The "Bush Is Radioactive" Meme

The NY Times is scratching its collective heads over President Bush's appearances on the stump lately.

Captain Ed thinks that - once again - the MSM is "misunderestimating" his political capital.

Stolberg undermines her own thesis, although readers have to press several paragraphs into the piece to figure that out. First, Bush has raised a lot of money in the areas where he has campaigned; the Sarasota visit raised $375,000 for a Congressional campaign, a rather impressive showing; the average cost of an entire Congressional campaign hovers around $2 million as of 2004. Bush raised 20% of that in one showing. He has also campaigned for George Allen, who now leads James Webb, as well as incumbents likely to win re-election such as Richard Pombo in California -- hardly a place where a Republican albatross would show up.

Once again, Bush seems to have confounded political analysts. In 2002, pundits expressed surprise that Bush would risk his standing as President by campaigning in a midterm election the Republicans were sure to lose. He went full throttle on campaign mode for that election, and voters rewarded him with clear control of the Senate and a wider margin in the House. In 2004, analysts were certain that Bush would lose in the middle of an unpopular war and were proven wrong once again, although in their defense no one expected the Democrats to pick such a poor challenger as John Kerry.

The President's approval ratings may be saging among those who are inclined to dislike him anyway, but despite the intra-party bitching lately his presence in this campaign is a plus in driving up enthusiasm throughout the base.

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October 24, 2006

The Taxman Cometh...

If the Democrats take over...

the new RNC video is up. I like the "Oh-Eh-Oh" chant at the end.

...but of course, it's for the "Common Good", right?

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Them Funky Polls

Another poll, another flawed methodology.

The MSM is trying their hardest to dampen GOP spirits. And another day brings another poll - one that says to Republicans: "You're Doomed!"

But hold on a minute, we ought to take a closer look behind the numbers. And BullDogPundit - once again - points out some peculiarities that go to the heart of its credibility.

In the poll, 22% of respondents aren’t even eligible to vote. And of those 78% that are registered, a full 25% either claimed they would “probably vote”, or that chances were, at best 50/50 that they would do so. And strangely, 78% were registered, 22% weren’t and 3% “had no opinion”. Um, that’s 103%, which strangely does match the historical voting participation rate in many of many urban areas, graveyards, pet stores, homeless shelters (in Democrat wards) and Alzheimer’s wings of nursing homes.

What’s also interesting is that the poll doesn’t ask these people if they actually voted in 2004 (or 2002), and if so, who they voted for.

Further, just looking at the demographics should give you pause. The poll is made up of 35% “Independents” and “Others”, which Republicans only make up 28% of all respondents (Democrats make up 30%). In 2004, only 26% of voters were “Independents”, and that was in a Presidential race. So come on, do these idiots really think that on election day 40% of voters are going to be unaffiliated with either party? Give me a break.

Add to that all these polls of local races that show conflicting results and - call me silly - I'd have to say that I'm having a hard time believing the hype.

And neither side should. This is going to come down to turn out - pure and simple. And for the last two election cycles, the GOP has the edge there. It's GOTV is effective. The Democrats GOTV comes down to bribing homeless people with booze and smokes.

DNC Chair Howard Dean has been squandering money on his 50-state pipedream and now his Committee is resorting to borrowing money, while Republicans have plenty of cash on hand.

Two weeks to go and a Democrat takeover over of Congress is far from assured.

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October 23, 2006

And As Long As We're Talking About The French...

I couldn't resist. A version of the Melissa Theuriau montage WITHOUT the loud new-age music in the background. So you can clearly hear her lovely voice.

Almost makes me want to learn French. Sigh.

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Were Credit Is Due: Thanking The French

As Robbo the Llama Butcher would say: "Gratuitous Historickal Posting Alert!"

John Miller of NRO (and author of "Our Oldest Ally: America's Disastrous Relationship With France") points out that the 19th is the 225th anniversary of the conclusion of the Battle of Yorktown. This was the final battle of America's War For Independence and one that French forces played a significant role in.

While the motivation of the French government's decision to aid the nascent United States in it's struggle with Great Britain is suspect and often dubious, we ought to take this opportunity to remember the individual French soldiers and sailors who lost their lives in this conflict from 1778-1783. This list of names is here.

Thank you.

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October 22, 2006

Sweet!


Which South Park kid are you most like?

Cartman

You are just plain evil and heartless. Though you're sly, and you come up with brilliant schemes, you're pretty dumb and close minded. Other people hate you... screw them!

Personality Test Results

Click Here to Take This Quiz
Brought to you by YouThink.com quizzes and personality tests.

And yes...I hate hippies.

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October 21, 2006

Diane Lane Photo Of TheWeek

DL 10-21.jpg

And this week's Diane Lane Netflix Pick of the Week:

My Dog Skip.jpg

My Dog Skip (2000)

Synopsis:
Lonely, 9-year-old Willie Morris (Frankie Muniz) lives in the flea-bitten town of Yazoo, Miss. He stinks at sports and has no playmates. So, over the strenuous objections of his hardnosed father (Kevin Bacon), Willie's mother (Diane Lane) buys him a dog that he promptly dubs "Skip." Before you know it, Skip transforms Willie's life: He makes friends, plays sports and develops an unbreakable bond with the spunky terrier. Based on a true story.

Gary's take: A story in the mold of "Old Yeller" without the whole shooting of the dog routine. But, yes, it's a tiny bit of a tear jerker - but with a happy ending. Diane is a stand-out as the loving mom. Imagine having a mom who looked like the picture above? Can you say therapy? Anyone who's ever had an attachment to a family pet will easily connect to this story. A fun and touching movie about friendship.

Posted by: Gary at 09:53 AM | Comments (3) | Add Comment
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October 20, 2006

New BSG Tonight

BSG six.jpg

"Exodus, Pt. II": Will Admiral Adama get his people of "Iraqtica"? Will Sharon find her still-alive baby? Will President Balter give Caprica Six some well-deserved "cuddling".

Tune in tonight!

UPDATE:

Podcast notes and quotes: (SPOILERS!!!!!)

Click "more"

more...

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JOE-Mentum!!!!

The latest Quinnipiac poll (and perhaps the last before the election) shows Joe Lieberman surging to a 17-point lead! Not only did Lieberman add 3% from the last poll, Ned Lamont LOST 4%!

Things are looking grim for the "Freshmaker". Remember the remix of this ad?

It's even funnier to watch now. Heh.

All the Lefty bloggers were trying to convince themselves that Republican Alan Schlesinger wiped the floor with Lieberman in Monday's debate. Apparently, it mattered very little to Lieberman's supporters. In fact, he hurt Lamont more:

While 35 percent of Connecticut voters watched Monday's candidate debate, another 35 percent said they heard or read about the debate. Of those who watched the debate or read or heard about it, only 3 percent say they changed their mind about whom they would vote for as a result of the debate.

Ned Lamont needed to score a knockout in the debates to catch Sen. Joseph Lieberman, but he apparently didn't lay a glove on him," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D.

"Lamont's negatives are up and he has fallen farther behind in the matchup against Lieberman because of his drop among independent voters and men.

"Observers had speculated that Alan Schlesinger would benefit from the debate exposure and take Republican votes away from Lieberman," Dr. Schwartz added. "Instead, he took Republican votes away from Lamont."

So, what are you guys going to try next? Reverse psychology? "Don't vote for Ned. He's too good for CT"?

LOL!

Posted by: Gary at 11:01 AM | Comments (9) | Add Comment
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Now That's Creative

GWB singing "Sunday, Bloody Sunday"

Hanging out with Bono must be rubbing off on him.

h/t: KLO at The Corner

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