May 09, 2005

Time Magazine: Hillary in 2008? No Way...

Joe Klein, author of the loosely-based Clinton campaign novel Primary Colors says Hillary shouldn't run and won't win and that her candidacy in 2008 "would be a disaster on many levels". Why?

She has a clenched, wary public presence, which won't work well in an electorate that prizes aw-shucks informality; she isn't a particularly warm or eloquent speaker, especially in front of large audiences. Any woman running for President will face a toughness conundrum: she will constantly have to prove her strength and be careful about showing her emotions. She won't have the luxury of, say, Bill Clinton's public sogginess. It will take a brilliant politician to create a credible feminine presidential style. So far, Senator Clinton hasn't shown the ease or creativity necessary to break the ultimate glass ceiling.
I definitely agree with him there, but his other major reason is that the electorate may already have Clinton-fatigue. And that another Clinton Presidency would be as unpalatable as another (Jeb) Bush Presidency. Of this I'm not as sure although he makes a compelling case:
"You mean she can't run just because her husband was President?" a Hillary supporter yelled at me. "That is the most incredibly sexist thing I've ever heard." Yes and no. My guess is that Hillary Clinton would roll into Iowa with an incredible, Howard Dean-like head of steam in January 2008, and then the folks—yes, even the Democratic base—would give her a very close look and conclude that a Hillary presidency would be slightly dodgy. The Clinton line in 1992 was, Buy one, get one free. We've already had that co-presidency—for its full, constitutional eight years. What's more, I suspect there would be innate and appropriate populist resistance to this slouch toward monarchial democracy. There is something fundamentally un-American—and very European—about the Clintons and the Bushes trading the office every eight years, with stale, familiar corps of retainers, supporters and enemies.

Posted by: Gary at 06:58 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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